In my previous post, I explained the difference between JAMB cut off mark and University cut off mark. I made mention that JAMB cut off mark does not guarantee your admission, your admission is guaranteed by the University cut off mark, if you didn’t read it, you can read it here.
Both JAMB cut off mark and University cut off mark are determined based on the same factor which is “statistic”. What do I mean by statistic?

Statistics means the number of applicants for the school, number of applicants for the course, number of pass rate in JAMB or POST UME, and number of fail rate in JAMB and POST UME. I will explain them for you, so read attentively.

POST OUTLINES
1. Number of applicants for the school.
2. Number of applicants for the course.
3. Number of pass rate.
4. Number of fail rate.

NUMBER OF APPLICANTS FOR THE SCHOOL
This matters a lot when determining the JAMB cut off mark of the school. Also, you should know that it is JAMB that determines the cut off mark for a school ( I am referring to the JAMB cut off mark), which means the school can go above the cut off mark to admit students but they should not go below the cut off mark.
Remember cut off mark is a benchmark, in other words,it is a boundary the University should not pass. For example, you can’t expect cut off mark for EKSU to be higher than the cut off mark for OAU simply because the number of applicants that opt in for OAU is always higher than the number of applicants that opt in for EKSU every year. Most times, the highest cut off mark JAMB can set for a school is 220 based on previous years cut off mark.

NUMBER OF APPLICANTS FOR THE COURSE
In this case, JAMB does not have a say in setting the cut off mark, it is actually the school that set the cut off marks for each courses. You scoring high mark in school POST UME ot SCREENINIG does not guarantee your admission, your admission is guaranteed by you surpassing the cut off mark for your course.

A student that choose medicine and surgery and got 75% in POST UME or screening can not be compared to a student that choose microbiology and got the same 75%,why? The student that choose microbiology might eventually get admitted since the number of applicants for the course is less but the student that choose medicine and surgery might find it hard to gain admission simply because the number of applicants are too much thereby giving the student a slim chance to surpass the cut off mark.
All I am trying to say is that the cut off mark for courses are determined by the number of respective applicants that applied for the courses.

NUMBER OF PASS RATE
This factor also plays an important role in determining the cut off mark for a course or JAMB cut off mark. Due to this reason, the higher the pass rate the higher the cut off mark for a course.

Assuming a course like medicine and surgery has 100 admission slot, out of the multitude that opt in for medicine and surgery, let us say 180 students got above 75% in the school screening, definitely the cut off mark for medicine and surgery will increase.

Remember that the pass rate is directly proportional to the cut off mark for the course.

NUMBER OF FAIL RATE
This also has effect on the cut off mark of courses. If the number that failed is many then the cut off mark will be low.
Assuming 200 students applied for botany, then out of the 200 students, the highest among them got 56%,this means that the cut off mark will be low.
Remember that the higher the fail rate the lower the cut off marks.